The results of Uttar Pradesh Civic Polls have been declared and BJP has registered an overwhelming victory in the Municipal Corporations. While congress, who faced defeat in BMC and MCD earlier this year, got another setback as they failed to win even a single Municipal Corporation out of 12. What these results shows? Is BJP reviving in Uttar Pradesh? Are Civic Polls results an alarming sign for Congress in UP? Did SP and BSP make a mistake by not fielding their candidates on their party symbols?
BJP
The confidence of BJP leaders and workers is on high after sweeping Municipal Corporation polls. BJP, who won 8 Municipal Corporations in 2006, bagged 10 Mayor seats this time around. However, the party couldn't got majority in any of these Municipal Corporation. BJP's victory in 10 Municipal Corporations has not came as a surprise because cities like Agra, Meerut, Lucknow, Varansi, Kanpur, Gorakhpur and Ghaziabad are always been the strong forts of BJP. Having said that, I am not taking any credit away from BJP. Despite performing exceptionally well in metropolitan cities, BJP is constantly losing base in the rural areas of Uttar Pradesh. BJP's tally of 55 Nagar Panchayats is declined to 35. BJP couldn't performed well in Nagar Palikas also as they won 41 Nagar Palikas, loss of 4 seats, in comparison of 2006. No party can do well on the basis of urban voters only and BJP will have to gain the confidence of rural areas' voters if they want to improve their performance in 2014 Lok Sabha elections. Notably, BJP did well in Municipal Corporations in 2006 as well but their performance in 2007 assembly elections and 2009 Lok Sabha elections was below the par. BJP UP president, Laxmikant Vajpayee, is busy in taking credit of party's brilliant performance in the Mayor elections but he has no explanation of BJP's poor show in Nagar Palikas and Nagar Panchayats. If BJP is labeling its victory in Municipal Corporations as a mandate of Uttar Pradesh people for 2014 then they are just trying to boost the morale of party workers which was down after having poor assembly elections six months back.
Congress
Congress, who won Bareilly, Allahabad and Jhansi Municipalities in 2006, couldn't open its account. The defeat in Barelly and Jhansi was almost confirmed on 6th March 2012 when Congress tasted defeat in both these places in the assembly elections. Even Supriya Aren, who was Congress MLA candidate and Bareilly Mayor then, couldn't saved her deposit from Bareilly Cantt. In my opinion, Congress shouldn't have contested these civic polls after having terrible assembly elections but they shown courage to contest it unlike SP and BSP. Even though, no Mayor candidate from Congress has won but performance of Congress in Kanpur, Allahabad and Varansi is quite satisfactory. Congress won 23 wards in Kanpur, just four less than BJP. While, they gained 8 wards in Varanasi to see their tally increasing to 16. Similarly, 13 corporators of Congress are elected in Allahabad, just one less than BJP. Though, their satisfactory performance in these three metropolitan cities can just work as consolation for them but can't hide the reality that Congress is being rejected by the Uttar Pradesh voters once again. Beside this, Congress won 14 Nagar Palikas and their tally of Nagar Panchayats is declined to 21 from 25. Congress performance in these civic polls is quite similar to their performance in assembly elections. The anti incumbency against most of the Congress sitting MPs has lot to do with Congress poor performance in assembly and civic polls. With the current scenario, it's extremely difficult for Congress to reach the double digit mark in UP in the next Lok Sabha elections. Notably, Congress had stunned everyone by winning 22 seats in 2009 Lok Sabha polls.
Beside BJP and Congress, Independents have won 131 Nagar Palikas and 331 Nagar Panchayats. Most of the winning Independents are SP and BSP supported. BSP didn't contest 2006 civic polls as well but what is the reason SP also not contested this time around? SP's inability to field the candidates in these civic polls shows they are yet to win the confidence of urban voters despite coming to the power with the thumping majority. Had BSP contested the civic polls, BJP might not have been able to win 10 Municipalities because Mayawati's dalit vote bank got transferred to BJP in most of the metropolitan cities.
From my deep analysis of UP civic polls, I can conclude that nothing much has been changed since the assembly polls.
BJP
The confidence of BJP leaders and workers is on high after sweeping Municipal Corporation polls. BJP, who won 8 Municipal Corporations in 2006, bagged 10 Mayor seats this time around. However, the party couldn't got majority in any of these Municipal Corporation. BJP's victory in 10 Municipal Corporations has not came as a surprise because cities like Agra, Meerut, Lucknow, Varansi, Kanpur, Gorakhpur and Ghaziabad are always been the strong forts of BJP. Having said that, I am not taking any credit away from BJP. Despite performing exceptionally well in metropolitan cities, BJP is constantly losing base in the rural areas of Uttar Pradesh. BJP's tally of 55 Nagar Panchayats is declined to 35. BJP couldn't performed well in Nagar Palikas also as they won 41 Nagar Palikas, loss of 4 seats, in comparison of 2006. No party can do well on the basis of urban voters only and BJP will have to gain the confidence of rural areas' voters if they want to improve their performance in 2014 Lok Sabha elections. Notably, BJP did well in Municipal Corporations in 2006 as well but their performance in 2007 assembly elections and 2009 Lok Sabha elections was below the par. BJP UP president, Laxmikant Vajpayee, is busy in taking credit of party's brilliant performance in the Mayor elections but he has no explanation of BJP's poor show in Nagar Palikas and Nagar Panchayats. If BJP is labeling its victory in Municipal Corporations as a mandate of Uttar Pradesh people for 2014 then they are just trying to boost the morale of party workers which was down after having poor assembly elections six months back.
Congress
Congress, who won Bareilly, Allahabad and Jhansi Municipalities in 2006, couldn't open its account. The defeat in Barelly and Jhansi was almost confirmed on 6th March 2012 when Congress tasted defeat in both these places in the assembly elections. Even Supriya Aren, who was Congress MLA candidate and Bareilly Mayor then, couldn't saved her deposit from Bareilly Cantt. In my opinion, Congress shouldn't have contested these civic polls after having terrible assembly elections but they shown courage to contest it unlike SP and BSP. Even though, no Mayor candidate from Congress has won but performance of Congress in Kanpur, Allahabad and Varansi is quite satisfactory. Congress won 23 wards in Kanpur, just four less than BJP. While, they gained 8 wards in Varanasi to see their tally increasing to 16. Similarly, 13 corporators of Congress are elected in Allahabad, just one less than BJP. Though, their satisfactory performance in these three metropolitan cities can just work as consolation for them but can't hide the reality that Congress is being rejected by the Uttar Pradesh voters once again. Beside this, Congress won 14 Nagar Palikas and their tally of Nagar Panchayats is declined to 21 from 25. Congress performance in these civic polls is quite similar to their performance in assembly elections. The anti incumbency against most of the Congress sitting MPs has lot to do with Congress poor performance in assembly and civic polls. With the current scenario, it's extremely difficult for Congress to reach the double digit mark in UP in the next Lok Sabha elections. Notably, Congress had stunned everyone by winning 22 seats in 2009 Lok Sabha polls.
Beside BJP and Congress, Independents have won 131 Nagar Palikas and 331 Nagar Panchayats. Most of the winning Independents are SP and BSP supported. BSP didn't contest 2006 civic polls as well but what is the reason SP also not contested this time around? SP's inability to field the candidates in these civic polls shows they are yet to win the confidence of urban voters despite coming to the power with the thumping majority. Had BSP contested the civic polls, BJP might not have been able to win 10 Municipalities because Mayawati's dalit vote bank got transferred to BJP in most of the metropolitan cities.
From my deep analysis of UP civic polls, I can conclude that nothing much has been changed since the assembly polls.
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