Sunday, May 4, 2014

How NDTV and Hansa research group manufacturing Modi wave in UP: Just 2 seats for BJP in last two phases

NDTV-Hansa research group has conducted another biased and paid survey in the remaining 33 unpolled constituencies of UP. We all know the close association of hansa group with BJP's Prime Ministerial candidate Narendra Modi and I am proving this modi-media-corporate nexus with solid proofs and facts.


Now let's believe NDTV's figures only for a moment. According to their survey, 65% upper castes are voting for BJP. While 28% SC/ST and 21% OBCs are going to BJP in Modi's wave. There are 20% brahmin, 40% OBCs and 30% dalits in awadh and purvanchal region of UP. 65% of 20 + 21% of 40% + 28% of 30 = 13% + 8.40 % + 8.40% = 29.8 % vote share according to their own vote share amongst several castes. But Hansa group has given overall 40% vote share to BJP. If hansa research group doesn't even know the basic mathematics then they have no moral right to conduct surveys by throwing dust into the eyes of viewers just for the sake of TRP. Another shocking outcome of this survey is that SP getting more upper caste votes than Congress and BSP. While, BJP and congress getting almost similar vote share of muslims. Is this possible that muslims will vote to Modi despite knowing his track record against minorities?

In 2009 lok sabha polls, BJP was not even up the runner up in 25 seats out of the 33 which will caste votes on 7th and 12th May. BJP's vote was around 50000 in most of the constituencies. How much a wave can help to increase the votes from 50000 to 400000? If Modi has so much impact on the outcome after contesting from Varanasi then why BJP is on 4th spot on the neighboring seats of Varanasi like Mirzapur and Chandauli.

Now let's have a look on seat wise analysis and you will find out where BJP actually stands. BJP is winning just 2 seats in last two phases, instead of 23 as predicted by NDTV. While, congress is winning 9 seats like 2009, instead of 1 which NDTV-Hansa research predicted.

Constituency
BJP
Cong
SP
BSP
To Close to Call
Comments
Amethi

1



Smriti Irani and Kumar Vishwas are going to lose deposit against Rahul Gandhi.
.
Shravasti




1
Congress is finding difficult to retain its seat.
Balrampur




1
 Congress feeling the heat and SP looking ahead..
Chandauli




1
 Triangular contest between 30-year-old congress candidate, SP and BSP. Congress candidate has done pad yatra of whole constituency.
Ajamgarh


1


Cake walk for Mulayam Singh Yadav.
  Kushinagar

1



Union Minister RPN Singh is looking ahead of his opponents.
Basti


1


Two big parties of UP are battling hard for this seat..
Kaiserganj




1
Again, the fight is between SP and BSP.






















 Jalaun



1

Straight contest between SP and BSP in this Bundelkhand seat..
 Sant Kabir Nagar




1
Congress and BJP are no major players here as well.
 Robertsganj:


1


SP has an edge over BSP.

Ghazipur



1

 BSP and SP are in tough contest.
Ghosi



1

 BSP appears to be ahead of SP.
 Salempur



1

Again, BSP and SP are in contest.
Kaushambi


1



SP and BSP are clashing with each other.
Sant Kabir Nagar




1

Congress and BJP are no major players here as well.
Mohanlal Ganj



1

SP and BSP are in race.
Dumriaganj

1



BJP fielded congress rebellion and sitting MP Jagdambika Pal which has caused dissent amongst party workers and congress has clear advantage. Congress has given ticket to BJP MLA's wife.
Bhadohi




1
SP and BSP are in close contest.










Machlisahar




1
BSP and SP are in contention.
Kaiserganj




1
SP MP had joined BJP but SP still in race.
Maharaj Gan



1

 BSP has an advantage over arch rivals SP.
Deoria


1


  BJP's heavyweight Kalraj Mishra finding himself in spot of bother as SP looking ahead in the race of 16th lok sabha polls.
Faizabad

1



 Brahmin and kshatriyas votes are with Congress Sitting MP and state president Nirmal Khatri. While, muslim votes will decide the faith of Congress and SP's Mitresen's Yadav. BJP is not even in race in Ram Nagri.
Bansgaon



1

  SP and BSP are clashing with each other.seats.  Manpreet Badal winning the seat.
Lal Ganj



1

Scenario is same like Bansgaon.
Ghosi


1


SP and BSP are in race.
 Jaunpur




1
 Bhojpuri star Ravi Kishan is in straight contest with BSP.
 Mirzapur

1



 BJP left this seat for Apna Dal. Congress has clear advantage on this seat. BJP claimed that party will be benefited in UP and Bihar with Modi's candidature in Varanasi but Modi factor is not working even in the neighboring seats of Kashi.
Allahabad

1



 Congress fielded former BSP leader who has good base in urban area but SP Rewati Raman Singh looking set for hat-trick. However, SP's attack on congress workers has changed the scenario.
Fulpur

1



It's a seat of Nehru Ji and Mohd Kaif is alone muslim candidate which has given advantage to congress.
 Gorakhpur
1




Cake Walk for Yogi Adityanath.
Baharaich




1
Sonia Gandhi rally had just 2000 people and this is one those few seats which congress is not retaining.
Total
1
7
6
9
10



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