First of all, I would like to congratulate Narendra Modi, BJP and its supporters. I or no one else expected BJP's tsunami, aandhi, wave,neelam toofan together in UP and MH. I have experimented different type of prediction but it got failed due to UP and MH. Bigger mandate brings you larger expectation.I hope that Modi will able to cope wid it and all d best to him. Stable govt was the need of hour. I only heard about 84 wave but now personally witnessed. Mind you, it's much bigger than 84. Congratz to all of you. This failure of prediction taught me a lesson. Hope, I will be able to take note of few other things from future. I m still satisfied with the hard work I put and also got the tremendous and overwhelming response. My blog's alexa ranking is 72000 which is much higher than tv 18 website. Let India grow under the leadership of Namo. Was there seriously a Namo wave? No, not at all. Still, 67% voted against Modi which means 67% Indians should go to Pakistan according to Giriraj Singh. 10.11 crore voters voted to Congress and 11.10 crore voted to Modi. BJP won that many seats in UP, Bihar and Maharashtra due to the division of secular votes in these 3 states. We will analyse this division in secular votes later.
If our Exit Poll went absolutely wrong then it is just because of BJP absolute swept Uttar Pradesh and Maharashtra. But, we still got our prediction correct in Kerala, Karnataka(to the some extent), Bihar(around 60%), Chattisgarh(80%), Orrisa, West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Sikkim, Manipur, Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Meghalya, Mizoram, Tripura, Punjab(predicted 2 seats for AAP and 10 for Congress but AAP got 4 due to which Congress tally went to 4 and we have predicted Jaitley's defeat long way back), Haryana(predicted 4 seats for BJP and Bishnoi's loss so got it 60% correct), Delhi(we have predicted 4 but BJP got all the 7), Seemandhra(predicted 15 for Jagan but he got only 9 so around 60% accuracy in prediction), Goa(50% accuracy in prediction).
You can verify the prediction of these states here http://idharudhar24x7.blogspot.in/2014/05/exit-poll-congress-lead-upa-heading.html
If our Exit Poll went absolutely wrong then it is just because of BJP absolute swept Uttar Pradesh and Maharashtra. But, we still got our prediction correct in Kerala, Karnataka(to the some extent), Bihar(around 60%), Chattisgarh(80%), Orrisa, West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Sikkim, Manipur, Arunachal Pradesh, Nagaland, Meghalya, Mizoram, Tripura, Punjab(predicted 2 seats for AAP and 10 for Congress but AAP got 4 due to which Congress tally went to 4 and we have predicted Jaitley's defeat long way back), Haryana(predicted 4 seats for BJP and Bishnoi's loss so got it 60% correct), Delhi(we have predicted 4 but BJP got all the 7), Seemandhra(predicted 15 for Jagan but he got only 9 so around 60% accuracy in prediction), Goa(50% accuracy in prediction).
You can verify the prediction of these states here http://idharudhar24x7.blogspot.in/2014/05/exit-poll-congress-lead-upa-heading.html
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dude seriously ,60 percent accurate ? how can u do better if you think you got it right.
ReplyDeleteI am not a modi fan either but we got to accept and move on.
dude i had already said that there cud be 7% margin of error in terms of seats.. except AP, Punjab and Haryana, we got 100% accurate
DeleteJunk..7% margin which world you are living...Margin of Error must be with 2-3%.. with 7% an idiot can guess..U were wrong in every state and then claiming 60% right ..what ridicolous it is ..Just check Today's Chankya exit poll and see how true thier predictions were..You are just cong agent trying to write something to make your blog get higher rank..u may get some tractions now but I bet u were even be in 2lac rank over long run...
ReplyDeleteFriend , u tried your best.even so called psephologists couldn't judge the magnitude except for one or two..Only worrying thing is India is now a majoritarian country.Ironically noted human right activist Mukul Sinha lost to cancer and Congress lost to Modi. I am proud that my state Kerala fought against this menace valiantly...Continue your hard work going...
ReplyDeletei hope you all can proudly say that in some states... your expexted percentage turned out to be zero...hope you mentioned that also if you can say that you are 60% correct.
ReplyDeleteclearly mentioned that bjp absolutely swept in UP and MH and due to which overall pred went wrong
DeleteBut a Poor overall efficiency of 23% as upa was getting 259 according to your poll
ReplyDeleteyes
DeleteYou got Karnataka, Bihar, Chattisgarh and Punjab completely wrong. You got Goa, Delhi wrong by a margin of 100%+.
ReplyDeleteOf the major states, the only one you got correct were Tamil Nadu, West Bengal and Odisha, but even my cat predicted them correctly.
I gave 4 seats to BJP in Delhi, pred 2 seats for aap in pjb nd jaitley lose..
Deletebjp got 31% votes and congress only 19% idiot....bjp got 17 crore votes congress got 10..... not 11 and 10
ReplyDelete