Congress looking unconcerned about Exit Poll results as party's internal survey predicting 193 seats for Congress-led UPA. Let me remind you that it was only our survey which was giving upper hand to UPA. You can read our Exit Poll here http://idharudhar24x7.blogspot.in/2014/05/exit-poll-congress-lead-upa-heading.html
Congress is expecting to perform exceptionally well in Karnataka, Assam, Punjab, Maharashtra and giving tough fight in BJP ruled states like Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Chattisgarh and Goa. Earlier, Congress predicted 140+ seats in its internal survey.
Reliability and credibility of Congress internal survey
Congress is expecting to perform exceptionally well in Karnataka, Assam, Punjab, Maharashtra and giving tough fight in BJP ruled states like Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Chattisgarh and Goa. Earlier, Congress predicted 140+ seats in its internal survey.
Reliability and credibility of Congress internal survey
1.
|
Reliability and credibility of Congress
internal survey is certainly more than all the Exit Polls. Congress internal
survey predicted 180 odd seats in 2009 lok sabha polls and party got 206
seats. Similarly, Congress internal survey was correct in Uttar Pradesh and
Uttrakhand also. Though party couldn’t come into the power in Punjab and
Chattisgarh but their own internal survey predicted the vote share right in both
these states.
|
State
|
Congress+
|
Uttar Pradesh
|
15
|
Bihar
|
15
|
Madhya Pradesh
|
11
|
Andhra Pradesh
|
12
|
Gujarat
|
10
|
Maharashtra
|
24
|
Karnataka
|
14
|
Kerala
|
12
|
Punjab
|
10
|
Rajasthan
|
8
|
Delhi
|
2
|
Tamil Nadu
|
1
|
Assam
|
10
|
7 North
East states
|
7
|
Uttrakhand
|
3
|
Himachal
Pradeshl
|
3
|
Jammu
& Kashmir
|
4
|
Goa
|
1
|
Haryana`
|
4
|
Jharkhand
|
4
|
Chattisgarh
|
4
|
West
Bengal
|
6
|
Orrisa
|
7
|
Union
Territories
|
6
|
Total
|
193
|
The fact that even the INC is predicting that it will win only 14 seats in Karnataka and 4 seats in Jharkhand seems to indicate things are not going that well. If INC could only manage 14 seats in Karnataka I find it hard to believe that UPA can win 24 seats in Maharashtra, 15 in UP, 10 in Gujarat and 11 in MP.
ReplyDelete