Bookies, brokers, TRP and Exit Polls: How TV 18 group forgot simple mathematics in Ambani's love, Polls predicts 230 seats to BJP out of 225

All the news channels and several survey agencies have predicted the landslide victory for BJP-led NDA in 2014 lok sabha polls. Today, we are going to expose all these paid Exit Polls and will prove you that how they are conducting comedy show in the name of Exit Poll. It is such a shame that fourth pillar of our democracy is working as an agent of bookies and stock market. Adani and Ambani's shares are on high since the paid opinion and exit poll predicting clear majority for NDA. Media showing wrong results just for the sake of TRP as they know hardcore hindus who resides in urban areas will change the channel if they will forecast the humiliation defeat of Modi & Co.

Flaws in methodology

1.

As far as I know, there should be at least 1% of sample size. Studied in research methodology . So 66% of 81 cr casted vote. Nearly 54 cr, they should take the sample size of at least 54 lakhs people. But they hardly takes the opinion of 5400 peoples and some agencies even fill the questionnaire on its own by sitting in the air conditioned room on the instructions of Nagpur headquarter. So that’s 1/1000 of ideal sample size which makes them highly unreliable.

2.

These agencies doesn’t cover even half of the constituencies. They just select few random constituencies from every state and declares the verdict of 543 seats. For eg:- If sample size shows something from Raibareilly and Amethi then it doesn’t mean that results will remain same in other constituencies. Every seat has its own caste equation, local issues and several other factors

When RSS internal survey itself is just predicting 170 odds seats for BJP, how can all these news channels can predict 230+ seats to BJP out of 225? Have a look on the seats where BJP has serious existence.

BJP ruled states - 90

UP - 45

MH - 25

Bihar - 20

karnataka - 20

Delhi - 7

Haryana - 8

Other states - 10

BJP has existence on just 225 seats... how can they win 250+?

BJP has existence on just 45 seats of UP because 20-25 seats are muslim dominated.10-15 seats are strong bastions of SP, BSP and Congress. 6-7 seats are of Mulayam Singh's relatives only. 2 seats for Mulayam, Dimple Yadav, Dharmendra Yadav, Ram Gopal Yadav's son, son of Mualyam Singh's sautan. Congress - Amethi, Raibareilly, Dharauhra, Kushinagar, Unnav. BSP - Bundelkhand and some seats in west up and east.

Some hilarious and childish outcome from various exit polls:-

1.	RJD winning 0 seats in Bihar. While, Congress is still winning 2 seats. Times Now.
2.	Gujarat: BJP winning 22 seats and Congress winning 7 seats but Gujarat has just 26 seats: Times Now
3.	Times Now: BJP is winning 8 seats in Assam, When, BJP had alliance with AGP in 2009, they could have been able to manage just 4 seats and this time they are heading for a rout in Assam
4.	ABP: BJP winning 10 seats in orrisa. While, BJD just getting 9 seats. Let us reming you that BJP was routed in local civic polls of orrisa and failed to win even three wards. Also, if there is some Modi wave then also it will benefit Congress as BJP is going to make inroads into the votes of BJD only.
5.	ABP: BJP(13) winning more seats than Congress(7) in North East. Congress is winning 10 seats in Assam only and party got walkover in Arunachal Pradesh and Mizoram. How can BJP win even 3 seats from North East when BJP got some 200 votes in recent by-polls held in north east states.

6.	Chanakya: 77 seats to BJP in Uttar Pradesh out of 80. BJP has serious existence on just 40 seats of UP but Chanakya has crossed all the limits of shame and predicting 77 seats for BJP.

CSDS-IBN which also has share of Reliance has even forgotten the simple mathematics in the love of Ambani and gave just 72 seats to Congress but actual tally is 120 even as per the seat wise prediction of TV 18 group.

CSDS-IBN Exit Poll

State	BJP	Congress
Uttar Pradesh	45	5
Bihar	19	5
Madhya Pradesh	24	5
Rajasthan	22	3
Gujarat	21	5
Maharashtra	20	9
Karnataka	10	16
Kerala	0	14

Tamil Nadu	1	0
Telangana	1	5
Seemandhra	1	0
Jharkhand	4	4
Punjab	1	5
Haryana	4	4
Delhi
Jaummu & Kashmir	1	2
Goa	1	1

Himachal Pradesh	3	1
Uttrakhand	4	1
Delhi	5	1
West Bengal	1	4
Orrisa	3	3
7 North East States	0	7

Union Territories	0	6
Chattigarh	7	4
Assam	1	10

Total

205

120